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Everything here comes from having built FOAKs, not just studied them. The Playbook is a structured guide to scaling cleantech from lab to commercial delivery. The Monitor tracks the largest FOAK projects in real time. The Blog is where I think out loud. Start with the Playbook → if you're scaling a FOAK. Start with the Monitor → if you want to know what's actually happening in the field.
What Can We Do Right Now, Without Waiting for Policy? A Hub-and-Spoke Answer to Europe's Battery Problem
I spent Wednesday evening at a roundtable in Valencia on European battery sovereignty. The discussion was sharp, honest, and at times uncomfortable. I left with a clearer sense of both the problem and a path forward that doesn't require waiting for Brussels to fix the IAA, renegotiate the Korea FTA, or launch another battery alliance. This is my attempt to pull the threads together. The question that matters most European battery policy has been trapped in a cycle of ambitiou
Mar 276 min read


The IAA's Local Content Play — Smart Carrot, Wrong Stick
Can demand-pull industrial policy actually build a battery industry? I've seen this movie before — not in Brussels, but in Russia. Around 2015, the Russian government wanted a domestic wind industry. Their solution was elegant: offer a feed-in tariff roughly double the prevailing energy price, but only if your wind farm hit 60% local content. Later raised to 80%. Within a few years, there were turbine blade factories, nacelle assembly lines, and local supply chains that hadn'
Mar 243 min read


The EU Battery Gap Is Smaller Than You Think — And Fixable With the Right Structure
Can EU battery industry be competitive with China? Yes, sort of.
Mar 62 min read


The Connectivity Risk Your Chinese Partner Didn't Mention
If a board member asked you today — "How do we manage the security and continuity risk in our Chinese partnerships?" — what would your answer be?
Feb 253 min read
China Wins on Volume. That Is Not the Game Europe Should Be Playing.
Upstream battery innovations, coupled with strong regulations, might let Europe avoid competition from China.
Feb 242 min read


FOAKs vs Reality: January 2026
Today is the first monthly check-in on the 23 FOAK climate tech projects I said I’d track publicly in 2026! FOAKs get talked about more and more, which is definitely a good thing! I’m following up on the developments of the largest and most interesting FOAK projects in climate tech. I first go over the good news, then the bad, and you’ll get an updated table at the end! The good news (actual execution happened) H2 Green Steel (now Stegra) signed a long-term supply agreement
Feb 93 min read


Replacing one solvent could speed up EU gigafactory deployment
My friend Jean Gravellier once drove me around the Dunkirk area. I’ve seen the ArcelorMittal steel plant, the nuclear power station, and locations for future battery gigafactories. “Why there?” I thought. So many polluting industries, all in one place? There are many reasons, but one is permitting - businesses with a higher environmental footprint go where it is easier to get approval from local governments. There is a reason that many battery companies in Europe are in Hunga
Jan 282 min read
Battery Chemicals And Supply Chain Resilience
Europe spends a lot of time talking about battery gigafactories. We discuss cell chemistries, subsidy schemes, factory locations, and how many gigawatts of capacity will be built by when. All of that matters. But a part of the battery value chain rarely makes it into these conversations, even though it has a disproportionate impact on cost, risk, and credibility. Battery chemicals. Not cells or packs, but the solvents, electrolytes, and precursors that sit upstream of every c
Jan 211 min read
Geopolitical Risk
I used to think that US sanctions were reserved for criminals, dictators and Russians. Well, a few months ago, an ICC judge authorised an investigation into alleged war crimes by US personnel in Afghanistan. Then she was sanctioned. Her bank access was frozen. Amazon and Microsoft shut down her accounts. She was treated like an international criminal. If that wasn’t a wake-up call for all working with the USA, this January should have been. With Trump openly threatening tarif
Jan 191 min read


Chinese EV Exports to Europe Surge Despite Tariffs
Chinese EV Exports rose despite tariffs.
Dec 21, 20251 min read




FOAK Review 2025: What Worked, What Broke, and What It Means for 2026
This is a review of key successful and key failed FOAKs in 2025
Dec 15, 20255 min read


Battery JV's That Teach Europe Nothing
Europe keeps announcing “battery partnerships” with Asian players with great enthusiasm — but when you look closely, the only thing landing here in any meaningful quantity is concrete. A T&E/Carbone4 report, which came out this February and which I’ve missed, lays out what many of us working in manufacturing have suspected for years: technology isn’t coming, know-how isn’t coming, and the only thing being localised is the assembly hall.
Dec 4, 20255 min read
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