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EMIN ASKEROV
Cleantech FOAK and Scale-up Consiglieri
My insights and blog
Dive into my latest thoughts on Greentech trends, startup strategies, and investment insights. Stay ahead in the green revolution.
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FOAKs vs Reality: January 2026
Today is the first monthly check-in on the 23 FOAK climate tech projects I said I’d track publicly in 2026! FOAKs get talked about more and more, which is definitely a good thing! I’m following up on the developments of the largest and most interesting FOAK projects in climate tech. I first go over the good news, then the bad, and you’ll get an updated table at the end! The good news (actual execution happened) H2 Green Steel (now Stegra) signed a long-term supply agreement
Emin Askerov
2 days ago3 min read


2026: A year to watch FOAK closely
I’ve put together a list of 23 FOAK climate tech projects that are supposed to prove something in 2026 — not in decks, not in announcements, but in steel, concrete, electrons, molecules, and regulatory filings.
Emin Askerov
Jan 82 min read


Planning Horizon
An intro to short fantasy novella.
Emin Askerov
Dec 28, 20251 min read


Who Makes Money From SDVs?
Every time someone says software-defined vehicle, I imagine driving 250 km/h on the Autobahn and seeing:
“System has unexpectedly crashed. Reboot in progress.”
That thought led me to dig into SDVs, money, and who actually benefits.
Emin Askerov
Dec 18, 20253 min read


The Tale of BP and Shell Green Ambition
How BP and Shell abandoned their green ambitions
Emin Askerov
Dec 15, 20251 min read


FOAK Review 2025: What Worked, What Broke, and What It Means for 2026
This is a review of key successful and key failed FOAKs in 2025
Emin Askerov
Dec 15, 20255 min read


Too Many Customers For A Startup
Nothing tests a founder’s sanity like having too many “very interested” customers. It’s like speed dating with homework. A few days ago, I spoke with an early-stage founder whose product was attracting a lot of interest. On paper, it looked like a dream: inbound requests from consumer electronics, defence, industrial automation, and even a few overseas corporates. In reality, it was a trap. The team had five people, no sales function, and most of their time was devoted to dev
Emin Askerov
Nov 25, 20252 min read


The Coming AI Energy Bubble
Why AI power demand won't materialise at the scale imagined.
Emin Askerov
Nov 13, 20253 min read


Adapt or Mitigate?
Adaptation and mitigation are often viewed as competing for capital. In fact, they are not.
Emin Askerov
Nov 5, 20251 min read


FOAK at VDS 2025
Takeaways from FOAK panel at VDS 2025
Emin Askerov
Nov 4, 20252 min read


Funding the FOAK Valley of Death — and the Bad Ways to Do It
We need more capital to bridge the FOAK “valley of death” in climate tech — but not at any cost.
Lately, I’ve seen two worrying ideas gaining ground: crowdfunding that asks ordinary people to “invest like VCs,” and proposals to channel pension money into the riskiest stage of startup growth.
Both sound democratic. Both are dangerous.
Emin Askerov
Oct 9, 20253 min read


The defence sector might drive e-fuels just as it drove solar
The military has always been the earliest adopter of new tech.
Dirk Singer noted that today it’s also one of the biggest investors in e-fuels — not for climate goals, but for energy security.
Like solar panels in the 1990s, disruption often starts on the battlefield.
Emin Askerov
Oct 6, 20251 min read


DOE Cancels Climate Project Funding. Selectively.
I’ve seen this before—in Russia. Decisions made not for policy, not for strategy, but for unchecked power. Now I see this playing out in...
Emin Askerov
Oct 3, 20251 min read


Robotaxis and Reality
Robotaxi reality check
Emin Askerov
Oct 2, 20251 min read


Three ways to use consultants productively, and why AI can’t replace them
I stumbled across Martin Gallardo’s post and decided that it would be worthwhile to rewrite my comment into a full post. The consulting...
Emin Askerov
Oct 1, 20252 min read


Battery Day 2025 in the Netherlands
This was my second Battery Day in the Netherlands. Last year I came for the first time and was surprised at how much battery innovation...
Emin Askerov
Sep 26, 20252 min read


Who Wins in France? The Boring Business Powers Ahead
A surprising revival of boring business amid the tech hype
Emin Askerov
Sep 24, 20251 min read


Climate Tech VC Fundraising: From Peak to Pause
Climate VC funding fell more than 3x from its peak in 2021
Emin Askerov
Sep 23, 20251 min read


Another Western battery startup left lying in the Valley of Death.
The lessons of Natron Energy collapse
Emin Askerov
Sep 9, 20251 min read


Mastering the FOAK Journey: A Practitioner’s Guide to Scaling Cleantech
We don’t have a cleantech innovation problem — we have a FOAK execution problem.
Over the past year, I’ve been building something I wish I had when I started scaling my first climate tech venture: a practical, experience-based framework for getting First-of-a-Kind (FOAK) projects off the ground.
In my latest article, I’ve pulled together my 50+ posts into a structured overview that maps the FOAK journey—from the moment you decide to leave the lab to the day your NOAKs are r
Emin Askerov
May 1, 20254 min read
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